Links 5/6
The future of social science, group decision-making foibles, and the beauty of sustained attention...
Kevin Munger on AI as an enabling condition for new forms of quantitative social science: a lot of the ideas in here should be familiar - decomposing the scientific PDF into structured, auto-updating artifacts organized around a scientific ontology. Great stuff. AI Allows More Diversity in the Forms of Social Science — Kevin Munger
Timothy Burke applies Tetlock’s Superforecasting findings to institutional decision-making: the most successful forecasting teams adopted rules that required the group to argue even when they happened to agree — “no shelter for yes.” No Shelter for Yes — Timothy Burke
Henrik Karlsson writing a beautiful piece last year on the biology of sustained attention. When attention holds, dopamine, hormones, and working memory synchronize and reinforce; jhanas are the inverse of a panic attack; cortisol’s 60–90 minute half-life is why frequent task-switching leaves the system decohered. Almost Anything You Give Sustained Attention to Will Begin to Loop on Itself and Bloom — Henrik Karlsson