<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[In One Lifetime: Links]]></title><description><![CDATA[Daily link posts on a variety of topics related to metascience, spirituality, AI, cooking etc. Things I've been reading and have found worthwhile or interesting.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/s/links</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg</url><title>In One Lifetime: Links</title><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/s/links</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 19:08:11 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.paullitvak.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[phowa@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[phowa@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[phowa@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[phowa@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/7]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI thinking isn't thinking, being ok with not being ok, and Chinese regional cuisines!]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-57</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-57</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 07 May 2026 15:47:40 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>This paper argues that AI models&#8217; thinking traces aren&#8217;t &#8220;real thinking&#8221; because swapped, noisy, and arbitrarily-truncated reasoning traces preserve or improve solution accuracy. When I examine my own train of thought when problem solving, I also wonder whether my &#8220;real thinking&#8221; is load bearing. <a href="https://arxiv.org/html/2504.09762v3">Stop Anthropomorphizing Intermediate Tokens as Reasoning/Thinking Traces! &#8212; Subbarao Kambhampati et al.</a></p></li><li><p>Joan Tollifson writes a beautiful piece, steeped in paradox, about what it means to be ok with yourself, even with the parts of yourself that are not ok with you. I&#8217;ve definitely had the experience of accepting that something is unacceptable to me. <a href="https://joantollifson.substack.com/p/okay-with-being-just-as-you-are">Okay with Being Just As You Are? &#8212; Joan Tollifson</a></p></li><li><p>Chinese Cooking Demystified maps 63 distinct Chinese regional cuisines and substyles. There is a companion video if you don&#8217;t want to read all this, but it&#8217;s great. I found it fascinating to learn about how much variety there is in Chinese food. <a href="https://chinesecookingdemystified.substack.com/p/63-chinese-cuisines-the-complete">63 Chinese Cuisines: the Complete Guide &#8212; Chinese Cooking Demystified</a></p></li></ol><p></p><p>(FYI I moved the links to its own section so if these annoy you, you can unsubscribe to just the link posts)</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/6]]></title><description><![CDATA[The future of social science, group decision-making foibles, and the beauty of sustained attention...]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-56</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-56</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2026 18:59:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>Kevin Munger on AI as an enabling condition for new forms of quantitative social science: a lot of the ideas in here should be familiar - decomposing the scientific PDF into structured, auto-updating artifacts organized around a scientific ontology. Great stuff. <a href="https://kevinmunger.substack.com/p/ai-allows-more-diversity-in-the-forms">AI Allows More Diversity in the Forms of Social Science &#8212; Kevin Munger</a></p></li><li><p>Timothy Burke applies Tetlock&#8217;s <em>Superforecasting</em> findings to institutional decision-making: the most successful forecasting teams adopted rules that <em>required</em> the group to argue even when they happened to agree &#8212; &#8220;no shelter for yes.&#8221; <a href="https://timothyburke.substack.com/p/no-shelter-for-yes">No Shelter for Yes &#8212; Timothy Burke</a></p></li><li><p>Henrik Karlsson writing a beautiful piece last year on the biology of sustained attention. When attention holds, dopamine, hormones, and working memory synchronize and reinforce; jhanas are the inverse of a panic attack; cortisol&#8217;s 60&#8211;90 minute half-life is why frequent task-switching leaves the system decohered. <a href="https://www.henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/attention">Almost Anything You Give Sustained Attention to Will Begin to Loop on Itself and Bloom &#8212; Henrik Karlsson</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/5]]></title><description><![CDATA[Two of these are about spirituality, not that you're keeping track...]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-55</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-55</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2026 16:03:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>A fake skin condition called bixonimania, seeded by Almira Osmanovic Thunstr&#246;m into two preprints in spring 2024, was cited as real by Bing, Gemini, Perplexity, and ChatGPT within weeks. This is a great example of why we need some kind of real grounded layer of scientific evidence. Relying on the foundation models by themselves to know what&#8217;s real doesn&#8217;t work. <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-01100-y">Scientists invented a fake disease. AI told people it was real &#8212; Chris Stokel-Walker</a></p></li><li><p>L.M. Sacasas&#8217;s piece provides a very compelling metaphor for the way social media affects our minds: digital platforms are doing to inner life what land enclosure did to the commons &#8212; turning the psyche into a resource to be managed and extracted. &#8220;Resist the enclosure of the human psyche.&#8221; Our attention is our most valuable resource. <a href="https://theconvivialsociety.substack.com/p/the-enclosure-of-the-human-psyche">The Enclosure of the Human Psyche &#8212; L.M. Sacasas</a></p></li><li><p>Evan Erickson on a failure mode in opening-awareness meditation: if your basic orientation toward experience is one of pushing-away rather than welcoming, the whole practice quietly becomes a more refined form of avoidance. In other words &#8220;remain uninvolved&#8221; as a meditation instruction can lead to a kind of bypassing. <a href="https://emframes.substack.com/p/unlearning-default-awayness">Unlearning Default Awayness &#8212; Evan Erickson</a></p></li></ol><p></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/4]]></title><description><![CDATA[Fascinating experiment which tests different organizational forms for AIs in solving complex problems - solo agent versus delegation to subagents versus markets.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-54</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-54</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2026 17:50:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>Fascinating experiment which tests different organizational forms for AIs in solving complex problems - solo agent versus delegation to subagents versus markets. Adding an explicit error correction loop for markets seemed like putting the thumb on the scale a bit in favor of markets. Takeaway: AIs are bad at delegating and breaking up problems in subproblems intelligently. <a href="https://www.strangeloopcanon.com/p/why-smart-planners-lose-to-simple">Why Coase needs Hayek &#8212; Rohit Krishnan</a></p></li><li><p>MacIver on C. Thi Nguyen&#8217;s <em>The Score</em>. Been meaning to read Nguyen&#8217;s book - his ideas seem very important in our metric driven era. MacIver&#8217;s long essay is worth reading for the account of the four horsemen of bureaucracy alone (those are: rules, replaceable parts, centralized control, and scale). <a href="https://drmaciver.substack.com/p/how-to-be-less-box-shaped">How to be less box-shaped &#8212; David R. MacIver</a></p></li><li><p>Alison Roman: Spanish tortilla is more a feeling than a recipe (isn&#8217;t a lot of great home cooking?) &#8212; potatoes confit-cooked in olive oil, six or seven eggs, flipped (flipping is the hardest part!) or broiled to set, the reserved oil making the aioli. <a href="https://alisoneroman.substack.com/p/spanish-tortilla-more-a-feeling-than">Spanish Tortilla: more a feeling than a recipe &#8212; Alison Roman</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/3]]></title><description><![CDATA[These you might want to click on]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-53</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-53</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 03 May 2026 16:12:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>Sasha Chapin with a great little interview of Zen teacher Henry Shukman on the curriculum after koan training (mindfulness, support, absorption, awakening) and Shukman&#8217;s COVID-era head injury weakening his cognitive capacity and opening his heart: &#8220;when there&#8217;s no resistance to heartbreak, it&#8217;s actually not a problem. It becomes indistinguishable from just an open heart.&#8221; It goes without saying that Chapin&#8217;s writing is a gem, and my contribution is only linking to his older stuff which you maybe missed or forgot about. <a href="https://berkeleyalembic.substack.com/p/a-little-drop-of-sweet-surrender">A Little Drop of Sweet Surrender (a conversation with Henry Shukman) &#8212; Sasha Chapin</a></p></li><li><p>Jared Henderson&#8217;s curated list of free philosophy lecture series on YouTube &#8212; Dreyfus on Heidegger, Kagan on death, Sandel on justice, Brandom on Frege, Sadler&#8217;s paragraph-by-paragraph Hegel. Sometimes I watch these imagining David Chapman chastising me for indulging in philosophy. Guilty pleasure. <a href="https://jaredhenderson.substack.com/p/the-best-philosophy-lectures-on-youtube">The Best Philosophy Lectures on YouTube &#8212; Jared Henderson</a></p></li><li><p>Mi&#8217;sen (another spiritual practitioner with a culinary passion) on Lyon as a &#8220;power place&#8221; in French cooking, the Mothers of Lyon, and a chicken-in-vinegar recipe sitting between Alain Chapel and Simon Hopkinson &#8212; plus the historical claim that French cooks were the ones who saved post-war British food culture in the 60s&#8211;80s. Despite a number of visits to France, I haven&#8217;t been to Lyon yet, which is criminal. <a href="https://hometable.substack.com/p/lyon-tart-and-soul">Lyon: t&#8217;art &amp; soul &#8212; Mi&#8217;sen</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/2]]></title><description><![CDATA[You don't even have to click on two of these...]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-52</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-52</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 02 May 2026 17:18:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>Victoria Lynn Carroll on dying as the answer to a long riddle, via a Death Cafe and the Bill Hicks roller-coaster bit. &#8220;Won&#8217;t it be fun to finally know?&#8221; A different kind of memento mori. I&#8217;ve read much of Andrew Holocek&#8217;s book on dying, Tibetan style, and didn&#8217;t see anything in there about fun! <a href="https://byfeel.substack.com/p/what-if-dying-was-fun">What If Dying Was Fun? &#8212; Victoria Lynn Carroll</a></p></li><li><p>@rohit4verse argues against getting on the latest tooling bandwagon for AI and instead focus on learning the fundamental primitives -- evals, context engineering etc. I have approximately 100 of these best practices type tweets saved. Each one is like a little time capsule of AI at a particular moment. I like this one since it goes against the grain of &#8220;use this specific tool&#8221; But I just spared you most of the need to read it. <a href="https://x.com/rohit4verse/status/2049548305408131349">What to Learn, Build, and Skip in AI Agents (2026) &#8212; @rohit4verse</a></p></li><li><p>The best Caesar dressing has dill and caraway in it, courtesy of Jeremy Salamon&#8217;s <em>Second Generation</em> by way of Emily Nunn. I just noticed this is behind a paywall. Saving you a click again - just put dill and caraway in your Caesar. Caraway is a super underrated seed - I typically only see it on rye bread. Another underrated spice? Fenugreek. Emily Nunn is cool though - even just her post titles give me cooking ideas. Worth clicking around to her free stuff. <a href="https://emilyrnunn.substack.com/p/salads-with-roots-from-two-absolute">The Best Caesar Salad You&#8217;ll Ever Eat &#8212; Emily Nunn</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 5/1]]></title><description><![CDATA[Andy Hall (another must read) reports on a fascinating experiment in AI governance where AI tries to learn students&#8217; preferences and then represent them in a virtual legislature.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-51</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-51</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2026 19:58:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>Andy Hall (another must read) reports on a fascinating experiment in AI governance where AI tries to learn students&#8217; preferences and then represent them in a virtual legislature. How do you get an AI to understand your worldview? <a href="https://freesystems.substack.com/p/training-ai-to-govern-for-us">Training AI to Govern for Us &#8212; Andy Hall</a></p></li><li><p>Henry Farrell persuasively argues that the harms from social media don&#8217;t stem from disinformation, but rather from internalizing incorrect assumptions about the prevalence of certain views. Like for instance you might think that racist beliefs are much more common than they really are based on social media alone. <a href="https://www.programmablemutter.com/p/were-getting-the-social-media-crisis">We&#8217;re getting the social media crisis wrong &#8212; Henry Farrell</a></p></li><li><p>The Countess Caroline von Keyserlingk was Kant&#8217;s closest friend for thirty years, probably his lover, and the likely source of the French turn in his work around 1760. I loved this essay - it totally blew up my assumptions about Kant&#8217;s boring conventional life. <a href="https://neoprimitivism.substack.com/p/the-most-important-woman-in-kants">The Most Important Woman in Kant&#8217;s Life &#8212; Daniel Andreas</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 4/30]]></title><description><![CDATA[Chaos edition]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-430</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-430</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 15:58:40 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>Richard Danzig&#8217;s 2018 CNAS report, written before LLMs and aging scarily: &#8220;superiority is not synonymous with security,&#8221; the human-in-the-loop reassurance is too weak and steadily eroding, and &#8220;early is imperative, late is too late&#8221; for control of complex opaque autonomous systems. Just because we can doesn&#8217;t mean we should. <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/technology-roulette">Technology Roulette &#8212; Richard Danzig</a></p></li><li><p>Kevin Kelly bets against the AGI-resolves-by-2029 vibe: AI keeps advancing in ways that <em>expand</em> our ignorance rather than answering it, and US-China duopoly, post-globalization social chaos, and AI-induced media-trust collapse compound for a 10&#8211;15 year stretch of uncertainty about uncertainty itself. This seems plausible to me. It feels like the world is more uncertain than it ever has been in my life. <a href="https://kk.org/thetechnium/our-uncertain-uncertainties/">Our Uncertain Uncertainties &#8212; Kevin Kelly</a></p></li><li><p>Or is that perception of everything becoming more uncertain a kind of illusion? Adam Mastroianni in this article from 2024 (ah, a simpler time): apocalyptic beliefs are so common across cultures because they feel <em>reasonable</em>, not because they feel good &#8212; extending his and Dan Gilbert&#8217;s &#8220;illusion of moral decline&#8221; work to explain why people persistently expect the world to end soon. Re-reading this piece, I am struck that they don&#8217;t really ever show that their proposed mechanisms (biased attention and biased memory) actually cause the illusion. <a href="https://www.experimental-history.com/p/the-end-is-nigh-and-heres-why">The end is nigh and here&#8217;s why &#8212; Adam Mastroianni</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 4/29]]></title><description><![CDATA[I just want to acknowledge that it might seem weird for some of you to see metascience and spirituality and AI all juxtaposed.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-429</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-429</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 18:40:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just want to acknowledge that it might seem weird for some of you to see metascience and spirituality and AI all juxtaposed. You can change your subscription settings to receive only metascience, though links will continue to be in the main section. There is actually a connection between all of these topics, which I promise to elucidate soon. In the meantime:</p><ol><li><p>Natalie Cargill on Olively, an AI app that rewrites your texts to your partner and decodes theirs back to you. Cargill very persuasively makes the case that AI-mediated communication is helping people avoid the real work of attachment repair. I think the reality is more nuanced -- when the AI has the right information it can do more than erode our coping abilities, and help facilitate real therapeutic insight. The full argument will require more than a blurb. <a href="https://nataliercargill.substack.com/p/just-stop-communicating">Just! Stop! Communicating! &#8212; Natalie Cargill</a></p></li><li><p>Erik Hoel diagnoses 21st century cultural stagnation as overfitting &#8212; algorithmic feeds and hyper-discriminatory measurement converge culture on narrow in-distribution outputs, with the AI em-dash tic as a canonical small-scale instance and &#8220;no better marker of culture&#8217;s unoriginality than everyone talking about culture&#8217;s unoriginality.&#8221; Big Erik Hoel fan - his book on the nature of consciousness, The World Behind the World, is a must read. <a href="https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/our-overfitted-century">Our Overfitted Century &#8212; Erik Hoel</a></p></li><li><p>Ben Recht: p-values are a regulatory mechanism, not a measurement device. Recht takes this view maybe a bit further than I would, but viewing statistics as a mechanism for technocratic decision making seems largely correct. This view is one reason I&#8217;m so fixated on better evaluation of randomized control trials, the most load bearing method we have in policy decision-making. <a href="https://www.argmin.net/p/milton-friedmans-p-values">Milton Friedman&#8217;s p-values &#8212; Ben Recht</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 4/28]]></title><description><![CDATA[New paper which scores 6,957 Organization Science submissions and 10,389 reviews with Pangram and find a 42% post-ChatGPT volume surge driven entirely by AI-flagged work, with editorial outcomes deteriorating sharply above a 30% Pangram threshold and the volume surge tracing to publication-count incentives at business schools.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-428</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-428</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 18:09:07 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ol><li><p>New paper which scores 6,957 <em>Organization Science</em> submissions and 10,389 reviews with Pangram and find a 42% post-ChatGPT volume surge driven entirely by AI-flagged work, with editorial outcomes deteriorating sharply above a 30% Pangram threshold and the volume surge tracing to publication-count incentives at business schools. Fun fact: I know the last author (Lamar Pierce) from grad school and have a fun memory of him standing on one foot in a kitchen at a dinner party exclaiming &#8220;I&#8217;m really good at balancing.&#8221;  <a href="https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/full/10.1287/orsc.2026.ed.v37.n3">More Versus Better: AI, Incentives, and the Emerging Crisis in Peer Review &#8212; Gartenberg, Hasan, Murray, Pierce</a></p></li><li><p>Dan Davies applies cybernetics and public choice to outsourced state functions and identifies &#8220;management capacity&#8221; &#8212; the ability to process information and respond to feedback &#8212; as the load-bearing missing quantity in modern bureaucracy. I&#8217;m a big fan of Davies&#8217; work. <a href="https://hypertext.niskanencenter.org/p/taming-the-unaccountability-machine">Taming the unaccountability machine &#8212; Dan Davies</a></p></li><li><p>John Psmith&#8217;s review of F.W. Mote&#8217;s <em>Imperial China: 900-1800</em> argues that barbarism and civilization aren&#8217;t a binary but a dial humans turn in response to incentives. Fun read, though I can&#8217;t remember why I saved this article a year ago&#8230; <a href="https://www.thepsmiths.com/p/review-imperial-china-by-fw-mote">REVIEW: Imperial China, by F.W. Mote &#8212; John Psmith</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 4/27]]></title><description><![CDATA[Elliott Ash et al.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-427</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-427</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2026 17:58:22 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><ol><li><p>Elliott Ash et al. test whether AI agents can re-derive a social-science paper&#8217;s tables from text + raw data alone &#8212;  this is interesting because most reproducibility agents use code as well. Seems like there&#8217;s an academic posting about an experiment like this about once a week. <a href="https://x.com/ellliottt/status/2047667528579596347">Can AI agents reproduce social science papers from text + data alone? &#8212; Elliott Ash</a></p></li></ol><ol start="2"><li><p>The argument from <em>Jacobin</em> that AI data center moratoria are a self-defeating Left tactic, since pausing US compute relocates development offshore, raises prices, entrenches incumbents, and widens the gap between people paying frontier-model subscriptions and people stuck with the lawyer&#8217;s $3000 fee. This is one of the best pieces on the Left in terms of engaging with AI seriously. <a href="https://jacobin.com/2026/04/ai-data-center-moratorium-democracy">Democratic Governance of AI Is the Real Solution &#8212; Jacobin</a></p></li><li><p>Tasshin Fogleman on Daoist and Tantric sexual practices as a contemplative on-ramp to the energy body, drawing on Julie Henderson&#8217;s <em>The Lover Within</em> and Mantak Chia&#8217;s <em>The Multi-Orgasmic Man.</em> I&#8217;ve heard some mixed things about Chia&#8217;s teachings and their efficacy, so YMMV. <em>The Lover Within</em> is on my list of books to read. <a href="https://tasshin.com/blog/exploring-sexuality-as-a-spiritual-practice/">Exploring Sexuality as a Spiritual Practice &#8212; Tasshin</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 4/26]]></title><description><![CDATA[A little AI, a little ethics, a little cooking for your Sunday&#8230;]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-426</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-426</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2026 18:06:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A little AI, a little ethics, a little cooking for your Sunday&#8230; </p><ol><li><p>Bill Nguyen on his AI agent: &#8220;I didn&#8217;t ask it to help me. I asked it to be me.&#8221; Very interesting article about a guy using AI to run his life. <a href="https://www.semafor.com/article/04/24/2026/the-man-who-is-paying-to-see-the-future">The man who is paying to see the future</a></p></li></ol><ol start="2"><li><p>Helen De Cruz on whether playing Super Mario with your grandkids belongs in the moral ledger (it does). <a href="https://helendecruz.substack.com/p/on-playing-super-mario-with-your">On playing Super Mario with your grandkids and why you should benefit yourself</a></p></li><li><p>Chris Young (ex-Fat Duck under Heston Blumenthal) on the $6 Michelin-grade consomme you can pull from a Costco rotisserie chicken in 60 minutes via pressure cooker. Loved this recipe &#8212; who knew that blending raw chicken is a better way to make a raft! <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3k20zFlbFfE">$6 Michelin Stock in 60 Minutes</a></p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Links 4/25]]></title><description><![CDATA[Like many people, I&#8217;ve built a Karpathy second brain thing where I fed in a ton of my reading and writing.]]></description><link>https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-425</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.paullitvak.com/p/links-425</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Litvak]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2026 19:47:47 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hCOn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09b955cb-1b0a-48c0-9114-da518a90c6b7_1070x1426.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Like many people, I&#8217;ve built a <a href="https://x.com/karpathy/status/2039805659525644595?s=20">Karpathy second brain thing</a> where I fed in a ton of my reading and writing. The autogenerated fully cited syntheses of ideas have been so edifying to read<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a>. The system is helping me write more. As part of this, it makes linkposts out of things I&#8217;ve read, which helps reinforce ideas in my mind and hopefully inspire yours! I hope you find these as fun to read as I did.</p><ol><li><p>David Oks on how citations ruined science: Garfield&#8217;s 1964 Science Citation Index and Hirsch&#8217;s h-index produced sixty years of unscrupulous gaming of the metrics, and AI is just letting the defectors scale. <a href="https://davidoks.blog/p/how-citations-ruined-science">How citations ruined science &#8212; David Oks</a></p></li><li><p>Psychology textbooks still haven&#8217;t corrected the famous experimenta; errors they were called out for in 2018, and the more common 2023 fix is to silently omit the topic. <a href="https://www.psypost.org/psychology-textbooks-still-misrepresent-famous-experiments-and-controversial-debates/">Psychology textbooks still misrepresent famous experiments and controversial debates</a></p></li><li><p>Doug Muir on Phobos: Mars&#8217;s inner moon periodically tears itself apart into a ring and then reassembles, on ~100M-year cycles. Metaphor fodder. <a href="https://crookedtimber.org/2026/04/20/occasional-paper-inconstant-moon/">Inconstant Moon &#8212; Doug Muir</a></p></li></ol><p></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.paullitvak.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading In One Lifetime! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>The page on awakening synthesizes 30 different sources! Maybe at some point I&#8217;ll publish a few of these if people are interested. I also had AI analyze patterns across my interests &#8212; super insightful! It helped me see the connection between my scientific and spiritual work in a new light. It&#8217;s definitely worth the time to make one of these.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>